New Zealand is currently undergoing a general election. As the Sheep Correspondent, it was my job to write about it. New Zealand uses the MMP system, where you have two votes, one for the electorate and one for the list. While not always a perfect indicator, some electorates that are close may help us find out which side the government will swing to.

Waitematā

ACT candidate for Waitematā

This seat on the North Shore of Auckland traditionally leans left, but the right has suffered from a problem here. In July, they split the vote, in October, they stood an inactive candidate, and in the most recent by-election, they stood a little known ACT candidate. Now the right has got their shit together somewhat, they’re standing an ACT candidate who a few more people know- FelineNibbler. Up against him is the Minister for Health and Māori Affairs, BHjr132. The polls show BHjr132 with 55%, perhaps owing to his incumbency and popularity, but if the nation swings towards National on election night, Waitematā may well be won by FelineNibbler.

Waikato

This seat is a predominately National seat, but the Greens have previously held it too after winning a by-election in the seat back in August owing to an inactive National opposition and a Reform candidate who spent most of their time attacking the Greens’ biggest vote splitter. They were re-elected in October, but after incumbent MP KilroyNZ defected to Socialist Aotearoa (and was promptly expelled from parliament for inactivity), the National Party narrowly won a by-election, beating Greens co-leader UncookedMeatloaf. The MP for Waikato, Gaedheal, founded the conservative pro-life faction of National, the Traditional Values Caucus and has attracted controversy. Due to a split opposition, however, the Greens face a real chance of winning the seat- but so does United Future. The most recent poll shows National on 38%, the Greens on 32%, having stood Minister for the Environment JellyCow99, but United Future, standing their deputy PM-ME-SPRINKLES, is on 30%. If the Greens win Waikato, they will likely be back in the Beehive. If United Future wins it, they may well be holding the balance of power come election night, having polled around 8% recently.

Southern

UF Candidate for Southern

Southern has been held by Labour for its entire existence, but is that about to change? Recent polls show National challenger and list MP stranger195 with a narrow 1-point lead over Labour MP Youmaton, who is on 33% to stranger195’s 34%. However, a notable other candidate in the electorate is United Future’s BloodyChrome, on 22%. It isn’t likely he’ll be elected, but who Southern goes to may well decide who is in government at the end of the night. And if United Future wins it? They will be in a very powerful position.

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